6 Ekim 2012 Cumartesi

Random Thoughts on Pedigree Handicapping for Saturday

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Slowly but surely I’m emerging from my post-holiday blahs—theferocious return of winter on Friday made sitting in front of the computer,analyzing Saturday’s races, preferably to…well, cleaning the house. Here are afew races and horses that caught my attention, particularly due to their pedigrees:

Aqueduct 2 (3yo MSW 6f)While Rockin Boogie is a very likely winner in his thirdstart, a couple first-time Darley starters of interest. The Distorted Humor homebredcolt Original Art is out of achampion Argentinean filly La Galerie (but she hasn’t produced much), while Le Bernardin’s dam La Rosa, winner ofthe G2 Demoiselle, has already produced G3 Sabin winner Taittinger Rose. Alsoexpect more from Hard Spun gelding Hardened Wildcat—his G1 Matron runner-up damWild Snitch has also produced the very nice G3 Bay Shore runner-up VengefulWildcat.
Update: Hardened Wildcat ($9.50 win) pulledclear of Rockin Boogie for the win;the Darley duo finished fourth and fifth—without Lasix.
Gulfstream 3 (3yo MSW 7f)Chad Brown sends out first-time starter Grouse whose dam is a half sister to promising G1-placedStopshoppingmaria; for Kiaran McLaughlin, the Invasor colt Al Aqsa is also interesting—his G3-placed dam is a half sister toG2 Alcibiades runner-up Galloping Gal, dam of G1 Cash Call Futurity victorLiaison. Other first-time starters: SpringHill Farm (whose G1-placed dam Colonial Minstrel is a half sister to thedam of G2 Jim Dandy winner A Little Warm) and Bird Tale, a Birdstone colt related to G2 Jefferson Cup victor IncaKing. A trainer switch for The GreatGonzo—his half sister is the dam of G1 Kentucky Derby runner-up EightBelles.
Update: Spring Hill Farm ($3.40 win) wired thefield, finishing over 6 lengths ahead of QuickWit, with first-time starter Grouse($3.60 place) another 6 lengths back. AlAqsa (no Lasix) had a very poor start, finishing sixth, followed by Bird Tale and The Great Gonzo.
Laurel 6 (3yo fillies MSW 8f)Back from England where her juvenile campaign was less thanstellar, Proud Pearl makes her dirtdebut for Graham Motion—she’s a full sister to the terrific champion ProudSpell. Not sure cutting back will make a difference, but the thus-far-disappointingHard Spun filly Boudicca finallygets Lasix which may make her a winner.
Update: Proud Pearl ($10.60 win) did her bigsister proud, winning over Theatricality;Boudicca faded fast to finish sixth.
Aqueduct 7 (Ruthless Stakes)While Ramon Dominguez may have chosen G3 Tempted runner-up Perennial Song as his ride, Better Lucky has the pedigree—her seconddam is G1 Breeders’ Cup Sprint champion Desert Stormer, while her dam Sahara Goldcaptured the G2 Beaumont. So too does WellKept whose second dam is another Breeders’ Cup Sprint champion, Safely Kept,and Corderosa whose second dam is G1Humana Distaff victress Celtic Melody. This looks to be a nice sprint race.
Update:Overwhelming favorite Agave Kiss ranto form, crushing runner-up Well Kept ($6.30place) who was over a length better than Corderosa($3.80 show). Better Lucky (again,running without Lasix) finished fifth while Perennial Song was never involved, finishing last.
Gulfstream 7 (3yo MSW 7f)Pletcher’s Ecabroniis the likely post-time favorite, but I’m curious to see the debut of Arm Force, full brother to G1 Dubai World Cup victor Well Armed. None of hissiblings have been precocious, but all five that raced are winners includingG1-placed Helsinki and G3 Railbird winner Witty. Nice workouts for Eoin Harty,but probably not this time. The other first-time starter Hunter Jak is a half brother to G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup winnerHaynesfield. However, based on his name alone, I like Old Time Hockey; not only is he by Foolish Pleasure descendentSmarty Jones, but also his dam is a half sister to Scat Daddy. No, his maidenrace was not a strong one, and he probably wants longer, but I’m rooting for him.

Update: Ecabroni wired the field (as expected),while Old Time Hockey ($3.40 show) managedthird after a less-than-stellar start, and HunterJak (87-1!) got up over Arm Forcefor fourth.
Turfway 7 (3yo fillies MSW 6f)First-time starter InLingerie certainly has the pedigree, with her second dam being G1 Breeders’Cup Juvenile Fillies champion Phone Chatter (this is also the family of G1Norfolk winner Dixie Chatter); this Empire Maker filly also has a sharp workoutleading into this race. Being out of the G3 winner Cat Chat, what feline loverwouldn’t play In Lingerie with ChaoticCat and The Cat for thetrifecta?
Update: Theworst-kept secret, In Lingerie ($6.20)wired the field as odds-on favorite. However, Chaotic Cat only managed fourth, while The Cat was dead-last.
Fair Grounds 9 (Marie G. Krantz Memorial H.)While Cherokee Queen,Pleasantly Blessed and A She's Adorable will likely battle itout again for the victory, I’m intrigued by the trainer switch for Countess Lemonade—and would be pleasedas punch if former claimer Juanitahangs on for the win.

Update: Cherokee Queen ($6.20 win) strode past Juanita ($6.20 place) late for the win,with Pleasantly Blessed ($2.60 show)third.

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